Category: Polls

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Donald Trump Elections Polls Uncategorized

New Poll Shows A Majority Of Voters Want Trump To Drop Out Of 2024 Race

As some Democrats continue to suggest that President Joe Biden should consider dropping out of the 2024 presidential race, new polling shows that a majority of voters want convicted felon and 2024 GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump to withdraw his name from consideration.

A YouGov poll conducted after last week’s first Biden-Trump debate suggests that while 45% of Democratic voters want Biden to step aside, 55% say he should remain in the race.

However, that same poll shows 54% of those surveyed say Trump should drop out. Only 46% want him to remain in the race, meaning that his numbers are worse than Biden’s.

And that same YouGov poll was also the topic of discussion on CNN, with Democratic strategist Maria Cardona and GOP operative Scott Jennings both using its results to suggest that voters aren’t enamored with either Biden or Trump.

Jennings said Biden cannot win the election and that members of the Biden inner circle are hiding facts about the president’s health.

But that led Cardona to cite the poll results regarding Trump and comment, “Hold on!”

Here’s the video:

Every approval poll shows that Trump is much more unpopular with the electorate than Biden. And independent voters repeatedly say they are more likely to cast a ballot for Biden than Trump.

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Donald Trump Elections Polls

There’s A ‘Big Flashing Warning Sign’ In Donald Trump’s Poll Numbers

Every week, it seems a new poll is released which shows that failed one-term former president Donald Trump holds a lead over President Joe Biden, a trend which has some Democratic strategists worried the polls may be a harbinger of bad news to come when ballots are cast in November.

But as New York Times analyst Nate Cohn notes in a piece he wrote for the newspaper, a quick look behind the numbers reveals that Trump’s support is much weaker than the raw numbers reveal.

Why? Well, mainly because Trump’s so-called polling advantage is among less engaged voters, who aren’t exactly a good indicator of what will happen when balloting begins.

“President Biden has actually led the last three Times/Siena national polls among those who voted in the 2020 election, even as he has trailed among registered voters overall. And looking back over the last few years, almost all of Mr. Trump’s gains have come from these less engaged voters.”

That means Trump’s lead in the polls is illusory at best and could actually be a lead for Biden, Cohn explains.

“While the race has been stable so far, Mr. Trump’s dependence on disengaged voters makes it easy to imagine how it could quickly become more volatile. As voters tune in over the next six months, there’s a chance that disengaged but traditionally Democratic voters could revert to their usual partisan leanings. Alternately, many of these disaffected voters might ultimately stay home, which might help Mr. Biden.”

The preponderance of disengaged voters nearly six months out from the election also makes the job of a pollster that much more challenging, Cohn adds.

“While millions of irregular voters will undoubtedly turn out this November, no one knows just how many of them will ultimately show up — let alone exactly which ones will do so,” he writes. “This too is always a challenge for pollsters, but the deep divide between regular and irregular Democrats this cycle means that the polls may be unusually sensitive to the ultimate makeup of the electorate, with Mr. Biden potentially favored if enough of his disengaged defectors stay home.”

Remember 2016? All of the polls showed Hillary Clinton with a commanding lead over Trump. Despite that, she lost.

And in 2020, while many polls showed Joe Biden ahead on Election Day, none of them showed him winning in a popular and electoral vote landslide, which he did.

This will likely be a close election, but the polls probably won’t reflect the result any more this time than they have in the recent past.

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Donald Trump Elections Polls

Exit Polls From New Hampshire Show Major Red Flags For Trump’s Campaign

Even though he won Tuesday’s New Hampshire Republican primary, failed one-term former president Donald Trump is clearly losing support according to exit polls which show that GOP voters hold much more moderate views on major issues which will decide the 2024 election.

That was the topic of discussion on CNN, where political analyst Gloria Borger noted, “Can I just talk about the abortion number? Because I think that is so striking.”

Anchor Erin Burnett replied, “This is 67 percent oppose a ban in New Hampshire, Only 27 percent favor it.”

Borger continued.

“Right. So here, you have a Republican primary, effectively. And you have this 67 percent number. And you have Joe Biden and Kamala Harris tonight talking about the repeal of Roe v. Wade. It is the one surefire issue — one of the one surefire issues that the Democrats have going into this next election. And it is unclear how motivational it will be, but when you see a number like that, you have to assume it will be very motivational.”

Burnett: “It’s worked in red states, Kansas, Ohio.”

Another panelist then weighed in.

“And listen, it is also why Nikki Haley is sounding a little more moderate than Donald Trump and sounds more moderate than Ron DeSantis, as well. It is shocking to me — we’ll see if these numbers change. The immigration, like 45 percent of these voters think that folks should be offered a legal pathway here in this country. You know, Donald Trump obviously wants to ride the immigration issue to the White House in the way that he did in 2016. He doesn’t quite have the Build the Wall slogan, but he has more vicious things like deportation. But so far, at least with these exit polls, some of these folks are sounding very moderate. The big question is, are we seeing that Donald Trump has a much softer underbelly as a GOP frontrunner than we thought?”

Abortion is the single biggest issue in the 2024 election, and it’s also the issue that will drag down Trump and the GOP. They know it and that’s why they don’t want to talk about it.

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Melania Trump Polls

Melania Trump Is One Of The Most Disliked First Ladies In History: Poll

Much like her husband, former first lady Melania Trump is a divisive figure, claiming to care about the issue of online bullying yet never calling out the failed former president for his countless attacks on others via social media.

Just how unpopular is Melania? According to a poll from Zogby Analytics, she’s near the bottom when it comes to favorite first ladies in modern history, The Daily Mail reports:

Jacqueline Kennedy tops a new poll of America’s favorite first ladies while current occupant Jill Biden comes in near the middle and Melania Trump was second from the bottom. 

Zogby Analytics polled a sampling of Americans for their thoughts on the past 12 women who have served as first lady. 

The results were based on how many of the 5,437 likely voters said each of the First Ladies was great. 

Be sure and note that Michelle Obama is second only to the late Jackie Kennedy in the poll, which is certain to enrage Donald Trump and his supporters, who have long tried to denigrate Mrs. Obama and her husband.

The fact that current First Lady Jill Biden is ranked so high though her husband has been in the White House for less than a year is also notable.

It shouldn’t surprise anyone that Melania is near the bottom of the poll. Keep in mind a few of the more controversial things she did and said while her husband was in office:

  • During a visit to see detained children at the US border, she wore a Zara jacket with “I don’t really care, do u?” emblazoned across the back. It left a bad taste in the mouths of many after her husband appeared seemingly apathetic to having separated children from their parents.
  • Melania hasn’t given many speeches, but when she did, they never went without controversy – whether she was accused of plagiarising Michelle Obama’s 2008 Democratic National Convention speech or labelled a hypocrite for celebrating diversity at the 2020 Republican National Convention (RNC) years after questioning Barack Obama’s nationality.

Though we can’t yet know if Melania’s ranking among former first ladies will improve, when you consider that her husband continues to say and do incredibly disgusting things, it seems unlikely that Mrs. #BeBest will ever be anything more than a footnote in American history that most of us would rather forget.

 

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Congress GOP Polls

Stunning Colorado Poll Suggests Lauren Boebert Is Toast In 2024

 

Colorado Republican Congresswoman Lauren Boebert found herself in one of the closest reelection battles in the country in 2022, managing to eek out a victory over Democrat Adam Frisch by the slimmest of margins, just 546 votes in a district that leans to the right.

New polling out of Colorado, however, suggests that Boebert won’t be so lucky come 2024, according to a report from Sara Wilson of Colorado Newsline.

An early poll shows incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch, the Democrat who came close to unseating the Republican in 2022, in a tie for the seat amid current political conditions.

If the 2024 election were held today with the two candidates, 45% of voters would choose Frisch and 45% would choose Boebert, according to findings from a poll released Tuesday.

An incumbent in a tie with her opponent with the 2024 election cycle set to begin (at least in part) later this year. That’s not exactly what a sitting member of the Congress wants to hear.

About all Frisch has to do at this point if he wants to win is increase his name recognition, something he’ll have plenty of money to accomplish as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced has announced that it will indeed be targeting Boebert for defeat in 2024.

Frisch also has an opening among Republican voters, according to the poll.

Among Republicans who described themselves as not very conservative, 60% back Boebert, 24% back Frisch and 16% are undecided. Pollsters said this shows an opportunity for Frisch to gain ground with center-of-right voters who may be disillusioned with Boebert’s extreme politics and who might agree with Frisch’s stance on abortion and economic policies. Frisch painted himself as a moderate last year.

But the most troubling result from the poll is that many in the district say they don’t believe Boebert’s priorities align with theirs.

Respondents listed addressing inflation and protecting Social Security as the two most important issues for Congress to focus on. They put defending former President Donald Trump and self-promotion on social media as the two bottom priorities among those offered by pollsters. Those two issues, however, were the ones respondents ranked as the top priorities Boebert seems to be focused on.

In other words, Boebert is doing exactly the opposite of what her constituents want her to be doing. She’s busy representing herself and defending Trump, but not helping to solve the problems that confront the average middle class voter.

There’s also the matter of Boebert’s unfavorable rating, which continues to skyrocket.

In March 2021, 39% of respondents had an unfavorable view of Boebert. Today, that number stands at 50%, which suggests she is ripe for defeat.

546 votes were all that kept Boebert in Congress. But it certainly sounds like voters in her district are ready to kick her to the curb once and for all.