Category: Polls

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Donald Trump Elections Joe Biden Polls

New Poll Shows Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Could Cost Donald Trump The 2024 Election

A new poll shows that the 2024 election could well wind up being a cakewalk for President Joe Biden thanks to an unlikely source: Democrat turned Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

The NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll released Tuesday shows that Kennedy is siphoning off far more voters from disgraced former president Donald Trump than the incumbent Biden.

With Kennedy in the race, Biden easily wins a second term in office, besting Trump by 7 points, which would be a landslide. In 2020, Biden beat Trump in the popular vote by a margin of 51.3% to 46.9%. The electoral vote count was even more lopsided, with Biden getting 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232.

Additionally, Biden loses 5 percentage points among Democrats with Kennedy in the race. Trump, however, loses 10 points among Republicans, a clear two-to-one margin that could easily result in a massive victory for Biden.

 Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, noted:

“Although it’s always tricky to assess the impact of a third-party candidate, right now Kennedy alters the equation in Biden’s favor. What this does speak to, however, is that about one in six voters are looking for another option, especially independents.”

Kennedy, who has trafficked in conspiracy theories involving vaccines for years, simply has more in common with Trump voters than he does those who would be casting their ballots for Biden. And come November, that could guarantee that Biden is reelected to a second term.

 

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Congress Donald Trump GOP Polls

Trump Appears To Troll Lauren Boebert By Posting A Poll That Shows Her Losing In November

A new poll released yesterday in Colorado shows that Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) is losing ground in her bid to win another term in office come the 2024 election.

Boebert, who is being challenged by Democrat Adam Frisch, is now losing by 2 percentage points to, Axios reports.

Frisch took 50% support of likely voters compared to 48% for Boebert — a statistical tie that is sure to elevate the stakes in Colorado’s much-watched 3rd Congressional District in the 2024 election.

It’s the first substantive poll to show Frisch with a possible advantage in the conservative district, pollster Chris Keating tells Axios.

Boebert won re-election in 2022 by a mere 546 votes, and Democrats are salivating at the chance to defeat the incumbent, who has established herself as a national GOP firebrand and ally of former President Trump.

Even more troubling for Boebert’s reelection campaign is her unfavorable rating, which has risen to 58%. That along suggests the congresswoman is facing an uphill battle next year.

Oddly, failed former president Donald Trump posted the poll results on his Truth Social site, raising questions about whether or not he was trying to troll Boebert or show that Republicans are vulnerable.

Here’s what Trump posted, without any commentary:

What’s that all about? Is the eternally disloyal Trump trying to show he’s winning in a district that could conceivably be lost by a GOP incumbent? Or is he hoping to gin up support for Boebert? If it’s the latter, that’s an odd way to boost a candidate.

Neither Boebert or her campaign have commented on Trump’s post. What would they say if they did?

2024 is likely to be an electoral bloodbath for Republicans. And if indeed Boebert does lose, the House of Representatives will automatically be a smarter place the day she vacates her office.

 

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Melania Trump Polls

Melania Trump Is One Of The Most Disliked First Ladies In History: Poll

Much like her husband, former first lady Melania Trump is a divisive figure, claiming to care about the issue of online bullying yet never calling out the failed former president for his countless attacks on others via social media.

Just how unpopular is Melania? According to a poll from Zogby Analytics, she’s near the bottom when it comes to favorite first ladies in modern history, The Daily Mail reports:

Jacqueline Kennedy tops a new poll of America’s favorite first ladies while current occupant Jill Biden comes in near the middle and Melania Trump was second from the bottom. 

Zogby Analytics polled a sampling of Americans for their thoughts on the past 12 women who have served as first lady. 

The results were based on how many of the 5,437 likely voters said each of the First Ladies was great. 

Be sure and note that Michelle Obama is second only to the late Jackie Kennedy in the poll, which is certain to enrage Donald Trump and his supporters, who have long tried to denigrate Mrs. Obama and her husband.

The fact that current First Lady Jill Biden is ranked so high though her husband has been in the White House for less than a year is also notable.

It shouldn’t surprise anyone that Melania is near the bottom of the poll. Keep in mind a few of the more controversial things she did and said while her husband was in office:

  • During a visit to see detained children at the US border, she wore a Zara jacket with “I don’t really care, do u?” emblazoned across the back. It left a bad taste in the mouths of many after her husband appeared seemingly apathetic to having separated children from their parents.
  • Melania hasn’t given many speeches, but when she did, they never went without controversy – whether she was accused of plagiarising Michelle Obama’s 2008 Democratic National Convention speech or labelled a hypocrite for celebrating diversity at the 2020 Republican National Convention (RNC) years after questioning Barack Obama’s nationality.

Though we can’t yet know if Melania’s ranking among former first ladies will improve, when you consider that her husband continues to say and do incredibly disgusting things, it seems unlikely that Mrs. #BeBest will ever be anything more than a footnote in American history that most of us would rather forget.

 

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Donald Trump Elections Polls

Poll: 64% Of Americans Say They Won’t Vote For Trump In 2024

While his poll numbers among many in the GOP continue to rise with each indictment, failed and disgraced former president Donald Trump got some very bad news from an Associated Press poll.

While 63% of Republicans surveyed said they want the former president to run again, an increase of eight percentage points over the 55% who said so in the same poll taken in April, other voters were significantly less enthusiastic.

But in a crucial warning sign for the former president and his supporters, Trump faces glaring vulnerabilities heading into a general election, with many Americans strongly dug in against him. While most Republicans — 74% — say they would support him in November 2024, 53% of Americans say they would definitely not support him if he is the nominee. Another 11% say they would probably not support him in November 2024.

The comparison between Trump and President Joe Biden shows that Biden has greater party loyalty among Democrats, and the total number of those polled who said they definitely or probably not support the incumbent is currently at 54%, a 10-point differential for Biden, which could wind up being significant come Election Day 2024.

What do voters think about the recent indictment of Trump by the Department of Justice for his role in January 6, 2021 and efforts to overturn the 2020 election? 53% said they “approve of the Justice Department indicting Trump in the federal case that he worked to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.” 

It remains to be seen if Trump’s negative poll numbers will go lower once trials begin next year, but the current figures certainly suggest that at least six in ten of Americans have had enough of him.

 

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Congress GOP Polls

Stunning Colorado Poll Suggests Lauren Boebert Is Toast In 2024

 

Colorado Republican Congresswoman Lauren Boebert found herself in one of the closest reelection battles in the country in 2022, managing to eek out a victory over Democrat Adam Frisch by the slimmest of margins, just 546 votes in a district that leans to the right.

New polling out of Colorado, however, suggests that Boebert won’t be so lucky come 2024, according to a report from Sara Wilson of Colorado Newsline.

An early poll shows incumbent U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch, the Democrat who came close to unseating the Republican in 2022, in a tie for the seat amid current political conditions.

If the 2024 election were held today with the two candidates, 45% of voters would choose Frisch and 45% would choose Boebert, according to findings from a poll released Tuesday.

An incumbent in a tie with her opponent with the 2024 election cycle set to begin (at least in part) later this year. That’s not exactly what a sitting member of the Congress wants to hear.

About all Frisch has to do at this point if he wants to win is increase his name recognition, something he’ll have plenty of money to accomplish as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced has announced that it will indeed be targeting Boebert for defeat in 2024.

Frisch also has an opening among Republican voters, according to the poll.

Among Republicans who described themselves as not very conservative, 60% back Boebert, 24% back Frisch and 16% are undecided. Pollsters said this shows an opportunity for Frisch to gain ground with center-of-right voters who may be disillusioned with Boebert’s extreme politics and who might agree with Frisch’s stance on abortion and economic policies. Frisch painted himself as a moderate last year.

But the most troubling result from the poll is that many in the district say they don’t believe Boebert’s priorities align with theirs.

Respondents listed addressing inflation and protecting Social Security as the two most important issues for Congress to focus on. They put defending former President Donald Trump and self-promotion on social media as the two bottom priorities among those offered by pollsters. Those two issues, however, were the ones respondents ranked as the top priorities Boebert seems to be focused on.

In other words, Boebert is doing exactly the opposite of what her constituents want her to be doing. She’s busy representing herself and defending Trump, but not helping to solve the problems that confront the average middle class voter.

There’s also the matter of Boebert’s unfavorable rating, which continues to skyrocket.

In March 2021, 39% of respondents had an unfavorable view of Boebert. Today, that number stands at 50%, which suggests she is ripe for defeat.

546 votes were all that kept Boebert in Congress. But it certainly sounds like voters in her district are ready to kick her to the curb once and for all.