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Elections Polls U.S. Senate

New Poll Shows Arizona Democrats Are Ready To Replace Kyrsten Sinema

Arizona Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s refusal to support reform of the Senate filibuster and vote in favor of President Joe Biden’s “Build Back Better” agenda have her in big trouble with Democratic voters in the Grand Canyon state, according to a new poll which suggests that Sinema will likely face a primary challenge when she seeks reelection in 2024.

The poll, according to HuffPost, was conducted by the progressive group Data for Progress:

“Her opposition to President Biden’s agenda is setting her up for an incredibly tough Democratic primary,” said Sean McElwee, one of the co-founders of Data for Progress, while acknowledging that 2024 is a long way away. “She will be facing immense headwinds.”

Seventy percent of prospective 2024 primary voters have a negative opinion of Sinema, with just 24% expressing a positive view of the first-term senator. Nearly half have a “very unfavorable” opinion. For contrast, 85% of primary voters have a favorable opinion of Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), who is also in his first term.

The poll named four potential challengers to Sinema in a hypothetical Democratic primary: Rep. Ruben Gallego; Rep. Greg Stanton, the former mayor of Phoenix; Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego; and Tucson Mayor Regina Romero.

If those four were to run in a primary (which is unlikely), Gallego would garner 23% of the vote to Sinema’s 19% and Stanton’s 13%.

However, in head-to-head matchup with Sinema, all four of the challengers would best the current Arizona senator by double digits:

All four potential challengers have massive leads: Ruben Gallego leads Sinema 62% to 23%; Kate Gallego has a 60% to 25% edge; Stanton leads 59% to 24%; and Romero leads 55% to 26%.

President Biden could play a major role in the 2024 Arizona Senate primary, too, as he is still very popular with Democrats in the state. However, it’s unclear if the president would support a primary challenge to Sinema.

Other recent polls have also shown that Sinema is losing support among Democratic voters:

Morning Consult survey from earlier this month found that 46% of Democrats approved of her job performance, while 40% disapproved. Overall, voters were split on her performance, with 42% approving and 42% disapproving.

If Sinema does wind up preventing passage of Biden’s ambitious domestic agenda, 2024 could wind up being a very bad year for the incumbent senator.

Categories
Donald Trump Elections GOP Politics Polls

Going Down: GOP Support For Trump To Be 2024 Nominee Plummets 24%

Despite the fact that most Republican political figures continue to kowtow to failed, one-term, twice-impeached former President Donald Trump, it turns out that many GOP voters don’t think the disgraced former chief executive would help them retake the White House.

A new poll from CNN has bad news for Trump as he flirts with running again in 2024:

“Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say, 63% to 37%, that Trump should be the leader of the Republican Party. But they are about evenly split over whether having the defeated former President back on the ticket in 2024 would be an advantage: 51% say that Republicans have a better chance of retaking the presidency if Trump is the nominee, with 49% saying the party would be better off with a different nominee. That’s a very different landscape from 2019 when more than three-quarters of Republicans said their party had a better shot in 2020 with Trump as their nominee than they would with a different candidate.”

The numbers are even worse for Trump among college educated voters and independents. Independent voters broke for Trump in 2016 but abandoned him four years later, casting their ballots for President Joe Biden:

“Trump’s support isn’t equally distributed throughout the party: 69% of Republicans without a college degree think Trump should head the party, compared with 49% of those who hold a college degree. A 72% majority of conservatives say Trump should head the party, compared to 49% among the smaller bloc of moderates in the party. And 71% of self-identified Republicans want Trump to lead the party, compared with 51% of Republican-leaning independents who say the same.”

Those numbers don’t bode well for Trump or the GOP, according to a panel of experts who appeared on “Inside Politics” Sunday, with CNN analyst Jeff Zeleny noting:

“That is fascinating there and not a good trajectory and what has happened during this period? Former president Trump has been sticking his head up more and been more active– not like he’s sitting on the sidelines. This isn’t happening in a vacuum. As I travel around the country and talk with Republicans and voters and other rank and file folks, there is, even among Trump supporters, not a lot of unanimity about they want him to come back.”

That led CNN White House correspondent Kaitlan Collins to add:

“You wonder if it only goes down further what does it change going forward. Part of it said that 58% of the Republicans without a college degree thought their chances would be better with Trump. But when you ask college grads, only 34% thought they would be better with Trump as the leader.”

Zeleny agreed, concluding:

“We’re seeing a delicate dance here and everyone waiting for him to disappear. The former president says he keeps teasing he’s going to have an announcement shortly — I don’t think it’s coming shortly at all. He’s going to draw that out in the next season perhaps. But this is not necessarily great news for Donald Trump, especially that declining number — that’s a fascinating number.”

Sounds like many in the Republican Party know that Trump is a loser. And with legal problems piling up against him, even if he does decide to run again, he could be doing so while under indictment, which isn’t exactly going to draw independent voters to him.

Here’s the video from CNN:

 

Categories
Coronavirus GOP Polls

Abbot And DeSantis’ Poll Numbers Crater As COVID Deaths Soar In Their States

As COVID continues to ravage the states they lead and both hospitalizations and deaths reach astronomical levels in Florida and Texas, the GOP governors of those states are seeing their poll numbers fall drastically as they face reelection battles in 2022.

Florida has become COVID central in the United States, with the state setting a new record on Thursday:

And in Texas, over 55,000 people have now died from COVID-19 in the Lone Star State.

A just-released Morning Consult poll shows that 51% of independent Florida voters say they disapprove of the job Gov. Ron DeSantis is doing. That’s up significantly from a month ago, when just 38% of independents were unhappy with DeSantis.

Among all Florida voters, DeSantis’ poll numbers have fallen by 14% over the past 60 days. That’s not exactly a good pattern for a incumbent who will soon be asking the electorate for a second term in office.

In Texas, the latest figures show that over 3 million residents have COVID, and that has led to Abbott’s numbers cratering in a fashion that mirrors DeSantis, with the Texas governor seeing his support erode by 7 points overall in the most recent polling.

At this rate, both Abbott and DeSantis will be underwater with voters by the time residents go to the polls next November, which could set up a major loss for Republicans at both the state and national level, according to Perry Bacon Jr. of the Washington Post:

“So perhaps a dynamic young candidate who can spur high turnout while avoiding very left-wing stands could be a winner. The Democrats have one strong prospect to run this kind of campaign in Florida — 43-year-old Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, who is already running in the primary against Crist. They have two in Texas: former congressman and presidential candidate Beto O’Rourke, 48, who is strongly considering a gubernatorial run; and 30-year-old Lina Hidalgo, the chief executive of Houston-area Harris County.”

Abbott and DeSantis are learning that when you ignore the health and safety of your constituents in an attempt to “own the libs,” all you accomplish is cutting off your nose to spite your face.

 

Categories
GOP Joe Biden Polls The Biden Administration

Republicans In Full Panic Mode As Biden’s Approval Rating Nears 60% In New Poll

After only six months in office, President Joe Biden has an approval rating that is flirting with 60%, and Americans are optimistic about the future, according to a new CBS News poll.

The poll, which was released Sunday, shows that 58% of those surveyed say they approve of the job Biden is doing.

 

Only two other presidents have managed higher approval ratings during their first six months in office: Barack Obama and Ronald Reagan.

Other metrics in the poll are also bad news for Republicans, who have been trying since Biden took office to slag him and suggest that he doesn’t know what he’s doing or that his policies are socialist.

Americans are also optimistic when it comes to how they feel about the future, with 52% saying they’re hopeful and 40% indicating they’re scared.

The main issue Biden was hired to deal with — the pandemic — is also a point of strength for the president. Fully 64% say the administration is doing well with battling COVID-19.

As if all that wasn’t bad enough for the GOP, consider the numbers when it comes to the Biden administration’s infrastructure proposals, which are favored by 59% of those surveyed.

And then there’s the matter of personality, where Biden’s predecessor always scored poorly, with 61% reporting they like the way the president handles himself personally.

Americans like and trust Joe Biden. That’s the worst possible news for Republicans because they have no platform of their own and are still under the spell of Donald Trump, who cares only about himself and is taking the GOP down with him.

 

Categories
GOP Whining Joe Biden Politics Polls

Conservatives Have An Online Hissy Fit After Their Favorite Poll Shows Biden’s Approval At Record High

Conservatives love to cite polls from the right-leaning Rasmussen Reports as evidence that their candidates are more popular than other polls indicate, considering it to be the “gold standard” of public opinion polls. Hell, even failed, one-term former President Donald Trump was fond of praising Rasmussen as “proof” that he was going to win a second term in office.

So it comes as a very bitter pill that Rasmussen has just released a new poll showing President Joe Biden’s approval rating at an all-time high in their survey, standing at 54% approval and 43% disapproval.

In comparison, at this point in his presidency, Trump’s approval rating was a pathetic 39%, which means he was badly underwater even though he was still supposedly in the “honeymoon” period of his administration.

It should also be noted that Trump left office (after inciting a riot at the U.S. Capitol that left five people dead), with an approval rating of 34%, according to Gallup. The average of his presidency was 41%, a record low, and a full four points lower than any other president when departing the White House.

The Rasmussen poll didn’t sit well with those who voted for Trump twice, so they had a hissy fit on Twitter, accusing the polling firm of being biased, denying reality, and making other outrageous claims, much like their orange god. Take a look:

Ah, the tears of right-wing snowflakes are so damn sweet.