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Congress Elections Polls

New Poll Shows Democrats Have The Momentum With The Midterm Election Just 2 Days Away

With the midterm election now just 48 hours away and record number of ballots already cast in several key states, a new poll from NBC News suggests that momentum in the final two days has shifted to Democrats.

Most notably, the generic ballot number is now in favor of Democrats, but the margin is razor thin.

The final national NBC News poll of the 2022 midterms finds a highly competitive campaign landscape ahead of Election Day. While Democrats have pulled even with Republicans in enthusiasm, President Joe Biden remains unpopular, and voters express deep dissatisfaction about the state of the country. 

Forty-eight percent of likely voters say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress as the outcome of Tuesday’s elections, while 47% prefer a Republican-controlled Congress. 

That’s a reversal from October, when 48% preferred a GOP-controlled Congress versus 47% who wanted Democrats in charge.

The most notable change in polling is that Democrats have caught up with Republicans when it comes to interest in the election.

In October’s NBC News poll, Republicans held a 9-point advantage in high voter interest, 78% to 69%, after Democrats had previously closed the enthusiasm gap following the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. 

Additionally, there’s a new top interest for voters, with 23% saying the most important issue facing the country is “threats to democracy.” 20% named the economy as the biggest issue.

But when asked which set of issues was more important in deciding their vote, 50% of voters said a candidate’s position on abortion, threats to democracy and addressing the cost of living by raising taxes on corporations (which largely has been the Democratic message).  

There’s also good news from several states where Senate races will determine who controls the upper house of Congress, with polls giving the advantage to Democrats in the states of Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania. Turnout is seen as key to Democratic efforts to pick up seats in key battleground states.

And turnout has been at record highs in states with early voting, with The Washington Post reporting that early voting totals have already surpassed the early vote total in the 2018 midterm.

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Congress Elections GOP Polls

New Poll Shows Lauren Boebert Is On The Verge Of Losing In November

One of the most controversial (and useless) Republicans in Congress is on the verge of losing her seat, according to a new poll.

Axios reports that the race between Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is now statistically tied with her Democratic challenger, Adam Frisch. The election is now just 34 days away.

Boebert received support from 47% of likely voters, while Democrat Adam Frisch landed at 45% — making the race a statistical tie within the ±4.4 percentage point margin of error.

7% of voters are undecided, per the poll.

Even more surprising is that Frisch has gained ground in just a few months time, putting him well within range of beating Boebert.

The survey, taken Sept. 2–Oct. 2 by Keating Research, a Democratic firm and one of the most accurate pollsters in Colorado, represents a 5-point swing toward Frisch. In July, Boebert held a 49%-42% advantage.

Unaffiliated voters — those not aligned with a major political party — strongly dislike Boebert, who’s known for her Christian nationalist rhetoric, opposition to bipartisan legislation, and lighting rod remarks about guns and immigration. Those voters are shifting toward Frisch as the election progresses, pollsters said.

What does this mean for an incumbent in a year that is supposed to be favorable for GOP candidates?

Chris Keating, president and founder of Keating Research, explained:

“With Boebert under 50%, that means she is vulnerable to losing this race.”

Boebert has been under scrutiny recently after a report came out suggesting that her neighbors in Colorado’s Third District wish she and her family would move elsewhere.

The Denver Post obtained recordings of the calls to police and report that Boebert’s neighbors said they feared for their lives at times because the Boebert clan “all have guns.”

Allegedly, Boebert’s husband, Jayson, is known to drink and drive:

“Jayson’s probably drunk. You could probably get him for a DUI, he just drove down here.”

 

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GOP Polls Social Media

Lauren Boebert Has An Online Hissy Fit Over A Poll About College Student’s Political Preferences

Right-wing Republicans (especially those who support disgraced, one-term former president Donald Trump) love to say that Democrats and progressives are too sensitive, so they call them “snowflakes” and dismiss them as being irrelevant.

And yet, a new poll from NBC News and Generation Lab has some of those same Trumpers whining because 62% of college students surveyed said they would not share a dorm room or apartment with someone who voted for Trump.

According to Mediaite:

A whopping 62 percent of college Democrats would not room with a Trump voter — more than double the number of Republicans who would refuse to share living space with a Biden voter.

A new NBC News/Generation Lab poll of the class of 2025 shows Democrats in that group really shun people who voted for former President Donald Trump. Like, a lot, and much more than Republicans avoid supporters of President Joe Biden — to the tune of a 34-point difference. Only 28 percent of Republicans  said they’d “probably” or “definitely” refuse a Biden voter.

Here are some of the quotes from students who participated in the NBC poll:

“I could never live with someone who supported a racist, homophobic, xenophobic and sexist person,” said September Mostransky, 18, of Siena College in Loudonville, New York, referring to former President Donald Trump.

“I could possibly room with somebody who is Republican. But when it comes down to it, Donald Trump is not the average Republican candidate,” Mostransky added.

Ethan Strohmetz, 19, a Republican who attends Catholic University in Washington, D.C., has a different opinion.

“A person’s political views do not affect whether or not I would have a friendship or relationship with them,” he said. “Many of my friends have vastly different political views than I do, but I do not let that affect our friendship.”

Perhaps no one was more upset by the poll than Rep. Lauren Boebert, who took to Twitter (rather than do the job she was elected to do) and posted this:

Here’s something Lauren needs to keep in mind: When it comes to “tolerance” most of us who are Democrats can tolerate just about anything except intolerance, and we won’t agree to be around bigoted assholes who hate people for the color of their skin, their sexual orientation, or their native language.

Sorry, Bobo, but almost no one likes you, and the only person to blame is YOU.

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Elections GOP Polls U.S. Senate

Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson In Big Trouble As New Poll Shows Him Losing Badly In November

Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is fading quickly down the stretch as the 2022 midterm election enters the last leg, with a new poll showing him significantly behind in his race to remain in the U.S. Senate.

Johnson, who has been an ardent acolyte and apologist for disgraced, one-term, twice-impeached former president Donald Trump is now down by 7 points to Democratic nominee Mandela Barnes, who would become the youngest member of the Senate at 35 if he defeats the incumbent. He would also be the first black senator to ever represent Wisconsin.

The poll, from Marquette Law School, shows Barnes with a commanding 51-44% lead over Johnson, and the fact that Barnes is above 50% this late in the race is bad news for Johnson, who has a high unfavorable rating among those polled.

 

Johnson recently shot himself in the foot with remarks he made suggesting that Social Security and Medicare should be discretionary spending, meaning that Congress could refuse to fund the programs anytime they choose to. A discretionary item in the federal budget is also subject to review annually, which would jeopardize the long-term stability of both programs that benefit senior citizens.

Additionally, Johnson promised voters he wouldn’t serve more than two terms in the Senate, but is now seeking a third term, which has reportedly rankled many in the Badger State.

A win for Mandela Barnes would be a huge gain for Democrats and another step toward getting a filibuster-proof majority that would allow the Senate to get more done, including passing voting rights and abortion rights legislation which is being held hostage by Republicans.

Democrats are also doing well in other states that currently have GOP senators, including Ohio and Pennsylvania, where Trump-endorsed candidates J.D. Vance and Mehmet Oz are struggling to gain traction with voters.

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Donald Trump Elections Joe Biden Kamala Harris Polls Ron DeSantis

New Poll Shows Biden And Harris Both Beat Trump – Biden Also Beats DeSantis

Both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris would beat failed, one-term former president Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup according to a new Yahoo! News/YouGov poll.

Mediaite reports:

Head-to-head, Biden beats Trump by two points, 41 percent to 39 percent. And despite heavy buzz for DeSantis, Biden beats the Florida governor by an even wider margin in this poll, 40% to 36%.

The survey did not include a head-to-head between VP Harris and DeSantis, but the veep does beat Trump by a point, 42 percent to 41 percent.

Andrew Harris, Yahoo News West Coast Correspondent, notes that voters are not excited about either Biden or Trump getting a second term in office:

In a striking expression of the profound pessimism and polarization currently afflicting U.S. politics — as well as a growing aversion to both parties’ presidential front-runners — a plurality of registered voters now say it would be “the worst thing that could happen” if either President Biden (39%) or former President Donald Trump (41%) were to win the White House again in 2024, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll.

A closer look inside the Yahoo!/YouGov poll also shows just how fatalistic respondents are about both Biden and Trump if they are reelected:

Respondents were also given a chance to say that either president’s reelection would be “mostly bad,” “mostly good,” “a mix of good and bad” or “I’m not sure.”

More chose “the worst thing that could happen” than any other option.