Category: Polls

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Donald Trump Elections GOP Polls

Internal GOP Poll Has Bad News For Trump And Republicans As The Election Draws Closer

With Election Day drawing closer by the hour, a new internal poll conducted by a group allied with the Republican Party has some bad news for former president Donald Trump and the GOP.

A copy of the poll was obtained by Politico, according to Newsweek, and shows the presidential race, along with several key Senate battles, trending to Democrats.

A memo containing the poll was circulated by the Senate Leadership Fund, a super PAC aligned with the Republican Party.

“The memo … included polling where Trump trailed Vice President Kamala Harris by 3 points in Michigan and by 1 point in Pennsylvania. The candidates were tied in Nevada and Arizona, while Trump led in Wisconsin by 1 point.”

In the Senate polls, incumbent Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey has a 2-point lead over Republican challenger Dave McCormick while Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris 48 to 49 percent.

Michigan is also a key Senate race, and Rep. Elisa Slotkin (D) is shown with a massive 8-point advantage over Republican Mike Rogers, who has seen his numbers decline drastically in recent months. Slotkin currently leads 46 to 38 percent and appears to be solidifying her support as voters begin going to the polls for early voting.

Additionally, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is in the fight of his life, with a razor-thin one percent lead over Democratic challenger, Rep. Colin Allred. That could mean that the Lone Star State is also in play and might tip to VP Harris if turnout is high in key Democratic areas such as Austin and Houston.

One thing is certain: Even Republicans can see that their candidates are not doing well, and there’s very little time remaining to make up ground.

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Donald Trump Elections GOP Polls

A Crucial Voting Bloc Is Abandoning The Trump-Vance Ticket: New Polling Data

For years, failed former president Donald Trump and the Republican Party have tried to make inroads with one of the fastest-growing voting blocs in the country: Hispanics.

But it appears that outreach was all for naught, according to new polling data.

On Wednesday’s edition of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” co-host Jonathan Lemire asked former Biden administration press secretary Jen Psaki about the polls.

“It’s not like Trump’s numbers are really going down per se. At least not much,” Lemire noted. “It’s more Harris’ growing support. It seems like Democrats that, for whatever reason, had really cooled on President Biden are now coming home because they’re excited about Kamala.”

“That’s exactly right, and remember just over a month ago, there was a larger number of double haters as we called them, people who weren’t thrilled about either candidate,” Psaki explained. “There was a large percentage of undecided voters that kind of wavered from poll to poll, and this all is a reflection of Democrats coming home, or Democratic-leaning voters coming home, which is a very good sign for the Biden (sic) and Walz campaign, exactly what you want coming out of the convention.”

“One of the most interesting numbers, certainly 18 to 34-year-olds, but the Hispanic number, Latinos is super interesting because this is a group that Trump and the Trump team has really done a ton of outreach to, and it is a group that you have seen some trends in certain states that has been leaning sometimes more Republican than they have been historically Democratic,” she added.

The segment concluded with Psaki remarking, “So this is a very good sign for them. What this means too, and you see this in state polls which are much more interesting to me than national polls, is that some of the states that seem to be off of the competition lane for the Democratic ticket like Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, are back in competition, and that’s a very good sign for the Harris-Walz team because they have more maps to get to 270, and it’s not just the Blue Wall, even though the Blue Wall will still be pivotal.”

Women, the single-largest voting bloc in the country, are now registering to vote in record numbers, as are young people. Harris will likely win the black vote by a mile and is also looking good among Asian voters. If the Hispanic vote also breaks for Harris, Trump will be left with little more than angry white men who wouldn’t vote for a black woman in a million years.

Could a popular and electoral vote be in the offing for Democrats in November? That’s very possible, but only if we all get out and cast a ballot against Trump and his extreme right-wing agenda.

 

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Elections GOP Kamala Harris Polls

JD Vance: Polls That Show Kamala Harris Has Electoral Momentum Are All ‘Fake!’

According to Sen. J.D. Vance, all of the polls that show Vice President Kamala Harris with political momentum on the eve of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago are all “fake” and shouldn’t be believed.

Vance appeared on the friendly airwaves of Fox News earlier this morning. Host Shannon Bream asked him about several recent polls that have Harris pulling ahead of failed former president Donald Trump in several key battleground states. Rather than answer the question, Vance suggested that support for Harris is stagnant and decreasing.

“How does that not line up then with another poll we got out this morning, Washington Post, ABC, they’re giving the vice president nationally a four to five-point lead?” Bream inquired. “I mean, those are new numbers.”

“So if you think the momentum is not swinging or your internal polls are suggesting differently, every other poll that’s been released has shown great momentum in her direction.”

Vance replied, “You know, Shannon, I think there are a lot of polls that actually show her stagnating and leveling off. Of course, ABC, Washington Post was a wildly inaccurate pollster in the summer of 2020.”

But this isn’t 2020. It’s 2024.

“We can’t worry about polls,” Vance insisted. “Consistently, what you’ve seen in 2016 and 2020 is that the media uses fake polls to drive down Republican turnout and to create dissension and conflict with Republican voters.”

“I’m telling you, every single person who’s watching this, the Trump campaign is in a very, very good spot.”

Fake polls? That’s a common refrain when a candidate is losing. And the Trump-Vance ticket is losing badly, especially when it comes to momentum and fundraising. Their poll numbers drop nearly every time one of them opens his mouth.

At this rate, Trump and Vance could wind up losing by a historic margin. Maybe that would finally put a stake through the heart of the MAGA movement.

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Donald Trump Elections Kamala Harris Polls

Kamala Harris Now Has Multiple Paths To Victory As Trump’s Chances Dwindle

With the 2024 election now just 79 days away, the political fortunes of Vice President Kamala Harris and Democrats continue to rise while her opponent, failed former president Donald Trump, is in political freefall, watching as his poll numbers slump even further and his chances of winning dwindle.

A new polling model from the Washington Post shows that Harris has multiple paths to an Electoral College victory. Trump, on the other hand, is facing the prospect of having to win every single battleground state to return to the presidency.

According to the Post, Harris would narrowly lose the election if it were held today, based on current polls across the states, but still has a better chance of winning because her path to victory isn’t as narrow as Trump’s.

“Our modeling shows that Harris has two paths to possible success: the Rust Belt states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and the Sun Belt states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada as well as North Carolina(she could win in either region and still claim the White House). Meanwhile, Trump must win both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt to triumph.”

The turning point in the 2024 election occurred on June 27, when President Joe Biden debated Trump and performed poorly, looking somewhat confused and often missing a chance to go on the attack against his opponent.

When Biden withdrew from the race and endorsed Harris, the entire election was “reset” the Post explains. That’s why models show her as the likely winner when the votes are tabulated three months from now.

“The other, and more crucial, reason that Harris is favored is that her improvement in the polls has opened up a second path on the presidential battlefield and in the electoral college. The polling suggests that, unlike Biden, she is no longer effectively tied to the Rust Belt — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — to hit 270 electoral votes. As of today, Harris is now only a typically sized polling error away from winning key Sun Belt states. Winning all of Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia would also be enough to put Harris over the top and she is continuing to improve her position in those states.”

Trump, however, has to win both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt states, which is a heavy lift for any Republican since Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are either trending Democratic or are historically more favorable for Democrats based on past voting trends.

If Harris does manage to carry the Rust Belt and Sun Belt states, she would wind up with well over 300 electoral votes, and could win in a landslide not seen since 2008 when Barack Obama swamped John McCain by a final Electoral College tally of 365 to 173.

The upcoming Sept. 10 debate between Harris and Trump could also cement the vice president’s chances of winning by proving that she has a firm grasp of all the main issues that voters list as their priorities: The economy, healthcare, education, and national security.

For his part, Trump continues to spin wildly out of control, telling supporters Saturday evening in Pennsylvania, “I am much better looking than her. I’m a better-looking person than Kamala.”

Clearly, Donald hasn’t looked in the mirror lately when he styles the bird’s next that sits atop his head.

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Donald Trump Elections Polls

Conservative Polling Firm’s Latest Numbers Show Trump Is Hemorrhaging Support

Failed one-term president and convicted felon Donald Trump loves to brag about how well he’s doing in the polls, but new numbers from a well-known conservative polling firm are leading some to suggest that his 2024 campaign is toast and “it’s over” for him and his dreams of another term in office.

Rasmussen Reports, rated as a polling firm that “leans right,” has just released a new poll indicating that Trump’s overall support has dropped below 50% and is steadily falling while Vice President Kamala Harris’ numbers are trending upward.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 44% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and two percent (2%) are undecided. A week ago, Trump led by seven points over Harris, 50% to 43%, in the first survey since President Joe Biden announced he would withdraw his reelection bid.

Those numbers led election observers to note that Trump is trending downward and could face a complete collapse of his already tenuous support.

A deeper dive into the Rasmussen poll shows that Robert F. Kennedy is now taking more support from Trump than Harris. In matchups before President Joe Biden decided not to seek reelection, Kennedy was siphoning more votes from Biden than Trump, which suggests Harris’ entry into the race has indeed shuffled the deck.

If Trump continues to hemorrhage support, he could be below 40% support by the end of August, especially since the Democratic National Convention is set to begin in Chicago on August 19.

And if we’re lucky, Kamala will beat the shit out of Trump come November by a historic margin that will finally put an end to Donald’s political ambitions.