For almost a year now political pundits and pollsters have suggested that the 2022 midterm election will be disastrous for Democrats across the country.
But the number of ballots already cast in early voting shows that Democrats are trouncing the GOP in three key states: Georgia, Ohio, and Wisconsin.
During a panel discussion Monday on MSNBC, host Joy Reid told Nicolle Wallace that voters were sickened by the January 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol and seeing the Supreme Court take away a woman’s right to make her reproductive choices.
“Women just don’t get over the idea that they no longer own their bodies. That’s not something that they say, ‘Hey, you know, I wish milk was a little cheaper. I’ll probably get over it.’ That isn’t something that happens. So, when I look at the electorate and the way that campaigns are looking at it, they’re saying, can Republicans catch up to that 4 million vote lead on Election Day? Because that’s when they are voting.”
That led Wallace to note that she doesn’t trust polls showing Republicans with the lead over their Democratic rivals:
“I think it’s unknowable. Because I think if you don’t trust your Apple watch to track your period, you’re not responding to a pollster about how, whether you care a lot or not at all. It doesn’t answer the question. I don’t know if you’re taking those calls anymore, if you are that kind of voter. I also think that this idea that the Dobbs vote peaked early — it’s 50 years of precedent overturned! You don’t get over it, in like 12 weeks.”
One thing that will definitely happen if the GOP doesn’t win big in the midterms: They’ll claim the election was stolen from them and try to overturn the results in court. But as we saw in 2020, that’s not going to be a winning strategy and will only further antagonize the majority of voters who don’t buy Republican conspiracy theories.