Mark McKinnon served as chief media adviser to both George W. Bush and Sen. John McCain, and he has a message for those who still think the 2024 election is going to be close: Kamala Harris has already won and all that remains is to count the votes and determine how big her landslide will be.
McKinnon shared his thoughts in a provocative article for Vanity Fair, noting that Harris can go ahead and start writing her victory speech for the night of the election.
“I mean, when you have the nominee of a major political party mentally unplugging during a town hall, stopping answering questions, and swaying along to his own Spotify playlist for 39 interminable minutes—and no one seems to blink—we’re out of surprises.”
“There’s no big last debate. No tentpole events likely to shake up the race in these dwindling days. Yes, a full-on war could break out in the Middle East. Or another hurricane could blow ashore, wreaking havoc—and Category 5 conspiracy theories. But the reality is that if nothing or everything happens between now and November 5, it’s unlikely to change the outcome.”
“This sucker is baked.”
What about all those undecided voters? There are none of them, McKinnon claims. If any voters haven’t yet made up their minds, chances are they won’t be voting.
There’s also the issue of Donald Trump’s mental fitness, which has been called into question repeatedly over the past week.
“In addition, Trump suddenly seems not just lazy, weak (by dodging another debate, for instance), and old, but also truly out of it,” he wrote.
“Some days he makes it seem like the “25” in Project 2025 is a secret plan to execute the 25th Amendment if he actually gets elected, paving the way for—Lord help us—President JD Vance.”
Harris, on the other hand, seems to be getting stronger each day, McKinnon concludes.
“Meanwhile, Harris looks strong and confident. She’s demanding another debate. She’s marching into the lion’s den of Fox News and perhaps Joe Rogan’s podcast. She’s running clips of Dictatorial Donald at her rallies—to cheers and jeers. On the campaign trail, she’s enlisting the help of a raft of ready-for-prime-time players, including Barack Obama, other top Democrats, and a number of anti-Trump Republicans.”
Kamala Harris is going to win. Maybe easily.”
