Elections Sexual Assault

Kavanaugh’s Confirmation All But Guarantees Democrats Will Retake The Senate

On Saturday, just hours before Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed by a narrow 50-48 vote in the U.S. Senate, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) made it sound like the entire Kavanaugh fiasco had been a positive for Republicans:

“It’s been a great political gift for us. The tactics have energized our base. We want to thank the mob, because they’ve done the one thing we were having trouble doing, which was energizing our base.”

While the McConnell/Kavanaugh/Trump alliance may have energized the GOP base, Republicans are now facing an enraged Democratic base on the other side, and that means McConnell won’t be the most powerful man in the Senate for much longer.

10 contested Senate seats will decide who controls the upper house of Congress in 2019: Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, and West Virginia.

The bad news for Democrats is that Heidi Heitkamp, the Democrat in the North Dakota race, appears to be toast. She continues to fall back in the polls and is an incumbent in a deeply red state. That means she is almost guaranteed to lose, barring some last-minute miracle.

But in the other nine state, Democrats look to either be in good shape or at least tied with their GOP opponents.

Specifically, Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Tennessee, and West Virginia seem to be trending towards the Democrats, and even incumbents such as Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and John Tester (D-MT) appear more resilient than had been predicted.

The bottom line: With a surge of female and younger voters — both of which are deeply disdainful of Donald Trump and the GOP — the Democrats are poised to win seven or eight of the 10 Senate races listed above. That number could be a bit smaller, as Tennessee is still somewhat in play.

One race appears to be a legitimate toss-up, and that’s Texas, which should be a cakewalk for Ted Cruz (R), but isn’t with less than a month left. And that’s a very bad sign for the Republicans.

When the votes are counted and the smoke clears, don’t be surprised if Democrats hold the Senate majority by as much as 55-45. That number could even be as high as 56-44. Either way, that means Trump won’t be able to get any of his judicial nominees through and could also spell his doom if impeachment is initiated in the House.

So let’s take a moment and thank Mitch McConnell for all but guaranteeing he won’t be running the show in the Senate for much longer.

Corruption Crime Espionage Trump-Russia

MSNBC Panel: Mueller’s BIG Indictments Will Begin Before The Midterm Election (VIDEO)

Now that Donald Trump has informed his attorneys he doesn’t plan to sit down for an interview with Special Counsel Robert Mueller, things are about to start moving very quickly in the Russia investigation.

The main focus in the weeks ahead, it seems safe to say, will be on additional indictments and plea agreements which will be unsealed in court and made public. All of this is likely to happen in rapid-fire succession, with one name after another being called on the court docket in both Washington, D.C. and Arlington, Virginia, where grand juries have been empaneled by Mueller.

During a discussion of the Russia probe Sunday on MSNBC, host Richard Lui noted that Trump is vulnerable on the firing of FBI Director James Comey, which may constitute obstruction of justice, and also:

“Crafting a misleading statement on the Trump Tower meeting with the Russians … dangling pardons before grand jury witnesses who may testify against him, and pressuring Attorney General Jeff Sessions not to recuse himself from the Russia investigation.”

Republican strategist Susan Del Percio, however, said it goes beyond those four key points:

“I think it’s not one or the other. I think it’s just the overall broadness of wanting to prevent justice from happening and prevent the investigation.”

Del Percio then went on to add:

“And that’s a better narrative for the folks, for the Justice Department, frankly, if they’re going to pursue this. None of those four on its own would necessarily lead to criminal charges and it doesn’t seem that’s where they’re going. Just to talk about the fact that Donald Trump may not be doing an interview — just to step back on that, let’s not forget this may work out better for Mueller because he may be able to wrap things up way before the 2018 elections.”

Former Democratic National Committee (DNC) Howard Dean then commented:

I think there’s going to have to be more — I think that’s a start. But that doesn’t really address the issue of collusion. I think there’s a fair amount of evidence that there is — has been collusion. We don’t know that for a fact, but we sure do know that the noose is tightening.”

Dean also referenced the new information regarding Trump’s attorney, Michael Cohen, which came to light this week after a raid on his office and home:

“If it turns out that Cohen really did go to Prague and talk to the Russians, as people have alleged and has been in print, then you start to get a pretty good case for collusion.”

The list of likely charges against Trump include conspiracy against the United States, money laundering, tax fraud, wire fraud, election fraud, and obstruction of justice.

No matter when Mueller reveals the rest of his indictments, rest assured that Donald Trump will either be named on several of those indictments or listed as an unindicted co-conspirator. And when that happens, the pressure will force Trump to either resign or become the first president in American history to be impeached, found guilty, and booted from office.

Elections Politics

Twitter Erupts In Laughter When CNN Pundit Claims Ryan Retirement Is Bad For Dems

Speaker of the House Paul Ryan announced Wednesday that he will not be seeking re-election to his Congressional seat, perhaps because he can already sense his party is going to be humiliated in the upcoming midterm elections.

CNN commentator Jack Kingston, a former GOP member of Congress from Georgia, thought it would be a good time to pontificate on the retirement of Ryan, so he went on Twitter and posted this:

Take a minute to digest that and have a good long laugh. Social media sure did:

So now the Democrats have no one to attack? Well, at least we won’t stoop to the pathetic level of people like Faux News host Laura Ingraham and start making fun of brave young people who dare to speak their minds and resist the bloody agenda of the gun lobby.

Elections Terrorism WTF?!

Trump Privately Hoping For Terror Attack Right Before Midterms: REPORT

The latest poll numbers are dismal for Republicans, with the so-called “generic ballot” showing Democrats with a double-digit lead over their GOP opponents if the midterm elections were held today.

But the news may be even more dire for President Trump. If Republicans lose control of both houses of Congress and Robert Mueller returns a report that proves the Trump team conspired with Russia to rig the 2016 election, Trump will likely be facing impeachment.

Party leaders have been trying to put a happy face on the midterms, with Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) noting:

“Who knows what 2018 will be like? Nobody called 2016, right? Everybody thought Hillary Clinton was going to get elected and that Chuck Schumer was going to be the majority leader. And none of that turned out to be true.”

But as a recent report from The Washington Post reveals, Trump himself seems to be entertaining a much different scenario:

“In private conversations, Trump has told advisers that he doesn’t think the 2018 election has to be as bad as others are predicting. He has referenced the 2002 midterms, when George W. Bush and Republicans fared better after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, these people said.”

You read that right: Trump is referencing September 11 and seems to be suggesting that a similar terror attack on the United States would pay political dividends for him and his party, meaning that even a damaging report from Mueller would be survivable. How twisted is that?

Matthew Yglesias, who writes for Vox, took the entire matter to its dark but logical conclusion, writing:

“If the president and his top staff are not so concerned with democracy but purely political power, that’s a terrifying proposition. And given Trump’s willingness to put his own interests before democratic norms — from keeping his business interests, to firing his FBI director to protect a friend — the absurd idea feels almost plausible.

If Trump thinks a terrorist attack would serve his political interests — either through a blind rally ‘round the flag effect or by specifically validating anti-immigrant demagoguery or what have you — how hard is he really working to keep the country safe?”

Is Trump capable of such a sick, depraved outcome in order to save himself? Of course he is.

This article was originally published by the same author at

Elections Politics

McConnell Warns Republicans: 2018 Midterm Election Will Be A Bloodbath For GOP

If there’s one thing Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is good at reading, it’s the political tea leaves when it comes to his own party, and right now the leaves show a very dark future for the GOP.

Politico is reporting that McConnell, along with GOP Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel, is telling President Trump that Republicans will likely lose control of both houses of Congress in the 2018 midterm election:

“McConnell has said privately that both chambers could be lost in November. House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) has told donors that he fears a wave of swing district Republican lawmakers could retire rather than seek reelection.”

McDaniel put her worries in writing and delivered them directly to the White House:

“A few weeks before Alabama’s special Senate election, President Donald Trump’s handpicked Republican National Committee leader, Ronna Romney McDaniel, delivered a two-page memo to White House chief of staff John Kelly outlining the party’s collapse with female voters.

“The warning, several people close to the chairwoman said, reflected deepening anxiety that a full-throated Trump endorsement of accused child molester Roy Moore in the special election — which the president was edging closer to at the time — would further damage the party’s standing with women. McDaniel’s memo, which detailed the president’s poor approval numbers among women nationally and in several states, would go unheeded, as Trump eventually went all-in for the ultimately unsuccessful Republican candidate.”

Also, with Trump’s approval ratings in the low to mid-thirties in recent polling, it seems unlikely that the president will be able to help on the campaign trail for Republicans in vulnerable districts. He could, in fact, wind up harming anyone he campaigns with or on behalf of. Such is the price of being Typhoid Donald.

Scott Jennings, a former top political adviser in the George W. Bush White House who is close to McConnell, said Trump’s entire presidency could be over with soon after the midterms in 2018:

“There are 10 months to improve the fundamentals here, and the Senate map is, on paper, good. But maps don’t make majorities and I think there’s a realization that there’s at least a 50 percent chance one or both chambers could fall. In less than one year, this first term could be, for all intents and purposes, over if the Democrats take control of either chamber.”

And, should both houses fall to the Democrats, Trump will likely be impeached. No wonder he was so eager to get that tax bill passed. It may well be his only legislative achievement before he’s booted from office.

This article was originally published by the same author at