Imagine, for just a moment, you’re watching a news broadcast a couple of days after all of the ballots have been tallied in the 2024 election and you see the state of Florida a beautiful shade of blue, meaning that Vice President Kamala Harris has defeated failed former president Donald Trump in the state the convicted felon now calls home.
Far-fetched? Based on new polling data from the Sunshine State, Trump is losing ground in the deeply red state and could well lose in what was once a GOP stronghold.
According to Newsweek, Florida is no longer a safe state for Trump.
On Tuesday, a new poll by the University of North Florida’s Public Opinion Research Lab found how likely Florida voters feel about the current presidential race between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
According to the poll, first reported by The Palm Beach Post, Trump currently leads Harris by 7 percentage points in Florida (49 percent to 42 percent).
In a statement to The Palm Beach Post, Michael Binder, the director of the UNH polling lab and political science professor, said, “It’s not a huge surprise to see Trump ahead in his home state of Florida, which he won by three points in 2020.”
The loss of Florida would doom Trump’s already narrowing chances of winning another term in office, especially since new polls from the key battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania show that the disgraced ex-president has lost the advantage he held before President Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 race and endorsed Harris.
Additionally, Harris is seeing a huge infusion of cash to her campaign coffers, having raised over $200 million over the past week while Trump’s campaign appears to be floundering financially.
Florida is key to Trump’s chances of winning. With the state’s 30 electoral votes now in play, Republicans will have to try and devise a strategy that can allow him to reach the magic number of 270 Electoral College votes. If they can’t, Harris will win in a landslide not seen since Barack Obama won in 2008 and 2012.
Meanwhile, Harris will announce her pick of a running mate next Tuesday in Pennsylvania, which is likely to give her yet another positive bump in the polls.
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