The 2020 election is now less than five months away, and Republicans are getting nervous as they look at polls for Senate races that will decide if they keep control of the upper chamber or Democrats take over.
Just recently, there were polls from three key states that raised eyebrows:
- Colorado: Democrat John Hickenlooper has an 18-point lead over Republican Sen. Cory Gardner
- Montana: Democrat Steve Bullock holds a 7-point lead over Republican Sen. Steve Daines
- North Carolina: Democrat Cal Cunningham currently has a 9-point lead over Republican Sen. Thom Tillis
Those three races are in addition to others being closely watched, including GOP Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Martha McSally in Arizona, both of whom are trailing badly to their Democratic rivals.
All of this is leading experts in polling to predict that not only will Democrats retake the Senate, but that the blue wave building could be momentous. FiveThirtyEight’s Nathaniel Rakich even exclaimed:
“Some recent Senate polls have been so eye-popping that we’re compelled to write about them — if only to sound a note of caution. Those polls imply a Democratic wave of truly epic proportions.”
Rakich adds that while the margins of victory suggested by the recent polls may be slightly inflated, they still point to a significant advantage for Democrats as they seek to gain control of the Senate and presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden continues to perform well against President Donald Trump in a head-to-head pairing:
“The fact that they are even remotely plausible reflects a vulnerability for the GOP in the age of the coronavirus. Americans are souring on President Trump’s handling of the crisis, and congressional Republicans are reportedly worried that it will drag them down too. The pandemic has also devastated the economy, which has historically been bad news electorally for the party in the White House.”
How sweet it would be if the projected blue wave turns into a blue tsunami, washing the nation’s capitol free of Republican control for decades. The only way it happens, however, is if we all vote and make our voices heard.